• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 0301

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/107 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Tue Mar 31 04:30:30 2026
    ACUS11 KWNS 310430
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 310429=20
    INZ000-ILZ000-WIZ000-IAZ000-310630-

    Mesoscale Discussion 0301
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    1129 PM CDT Mon Mar 30 2026

    Areas affected...Central Iowa to southern Lake Michigan

    Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 77...

    Valid 310429Z - 310630Z

    The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 77
    continues.

    SUMMARY...Large hail threat continues with storms tonight, along
    with some risk for gusty winds.

    DISCUSSION...Back edge of a short-wave trough appears to extend from
    southwest MN-eastern NE. Scattered deep convection has developed
    ahead of this feature, partially aided by a strong but veered LLJ.
    Sustained low-level warm advection will continue much of the night
    along this corridor so new development is possible in addition to
    the two main clusters that are currently observed. Latest MESH data
    suggests large hail is noted within the stronger updrafts in these
    clusters, and this should be the primary concern into the early
    morning hours.

    ..Darrow.. 03/31/2026

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!-iIVduPUjupLMnsn8PyyLKj1xQoFC0VZH2ECr7DA0i1v9VFPwzr1IT4hgjaffwYXgE3mCu29L= RsbuReujGjGntXW_xc$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...LOT...MKX...DVN...ARX...DMX...

    LAT...LON 42549463 42878745 41438746 41109466 42549463=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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